| 1. Identificação | ||||
| Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Evento (Conference Proceedings) | |||
| Site | mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP3W34T/47MGJA8 | |||
| Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2022/09.26.15.19 | |||
| Última Atualização | 2022:09.26.15.19.22 (UTC) simone | |||
| Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2022/09.26.15.19.22 | |||
| Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2023:01.03.16.46.17 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Chave Secundária | INPE--PRE/ | |||
| Chave de Citação | SilvaChTaLyChMe:2022:AnFuCh | |||
| Título | Analysis of future changes in atmospheric conditions favorable to the occurrence of storm surges in Santos, São Paulo, using the Eta model  | |||
| Ano | 2022 | |||
| Data de Acesso | 15 maio 2024 | |||
| Tipo Secundário | PRE CN | |||
| Número de Arquivos | 1 | |||
| Tamanho | 141 KiB | |||
| 2. Contextualização | ||||
| Autor | 1 Silva, Marcely Sondermann da 2 Chou, Sin Chan 3 Tavares, Priscila da Silva 4 Lyra, André de Arruda 5 Chagas, Diego José 6 Medeiros, Gustavo Sueiro | |||
| Grupo | 1 MET-MET-DIPGR-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 2 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 3 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 4 CGCT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 5 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 6 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 marcely.silva@inpe.br 2 chou.sinchan@gmail.com 3 priltavares@gmail.com 4 andre.lyra@inpe.br 5 diegodjc@gmail.com 6 gsueiromedeiros@gmail.com | |||
| Nome do Evento | Workshop em Modelagem Numérica de Tempo, Clima e Mudanças Climáticas Usando o Modelo Eta: Aspectos Físicos e Numéricos (WorEta), 7 | |||
| Localização do Evento | Online | |||
| Data | 26-30 set. 2022 | |||
| Editora (Publisher) | INPE | |||
| Histórico (UTC) | 2022-09-26 15:19:22 :: simone -> administrator :: 2022-09-28 18:40:15 :: administrator -> simone :: 2022 2022-12-20 14:22:31 :: simone -> administrator :: 2022 2023-01-03 16:46:17 :: administrator -> simone :: 2022 | |||
| 3. Conteúdo e estrutura | ||||
| É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz | |||
| Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido | |||
| Transferível | 1 | |||
| Palavras-Chave | Storm surges Climate Changes Eta Model High Resolution | |||
| Resumo | Stormsurge events have become more frequent since the late 1990s, as recorded by observations in Santos. These events can cause disruption to navigation, operations on oil platforms, and the destruction of coastal areas. The main objective of this work is to characterize changes in conditions favorable to the occurrence of storm surges in Santos from future climate projections. 89 storm surge days were found in Santos using wave height data by the ERA5 Reanalysis, during the months of May 1981 to 2010. These storm surge cases were grouped according to their atmospheric conditions and resulted in 3 favorable weather patterns for the occurrence of storm surges. In order to verify the ability of the Eta regional model, nested to the Brazilian Earth System Model (BESM) global model at 20 km spatial resolution, to reproduce these patterns, the daily meteorological fields of the model were compared with each of the three favorable patterns. to storm surges obtained from the ERA5 reanalysis. The results show that: 1) Pattern 1, presents 10 cases and is characterized by the presence of a cyclone on the coast of the city of Santos with intense winds and parallel to the coast; 2) Pattern 2, with 22 cases, presents an extensive track of intense winds over the ocean, formed by a high-pressure system to the south and a low-pressure system to the north of the South Atlantic Ocean; 3) Pattern 3 presented the highest number of events, 57 cases, and is characterized by the presence of southwest winds, coming from high pressure on the continent and the presence of a trough over the ocean. The results showed that the Eta-BESM 20 km performed well in reproducing the patterns favorable to storm surges. The model showed stronger winds over the ocean in all three patterns compared to the reanalysis. The same comparison was made to detect cases of storm surge in the future climate (2031-2060), using two greenhouse gas emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Climate projections show atmospheric patterns favorable to storm surges will occur less frequently. However, these events may be more intense. In order to evaluate the local impacts on the coast and obtain greater detail of the data and information, the second downscaling of the Eta model was generated, reaching a spatial resolution of 5 km. The present climate simulations showed the performance of synoptic scale systems in storm surges, superimposed on the effects of mesoscale circulation. Future projections show high accumulations of rain over the ocean in Pattern 1. Although, the lower occurrence in relation to the present climate has become more intense, which can cause more negative impacts on the city of Santos. On the other hand, Patterns 2 and 3 in the future showed precipitation concentrated along the entire coast of Baixada Santista. | |||
| Área | MET | |||
| Arranjo 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção pgr ATUAIS > MET > Analysis of future... | |||
| Arranjo 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Analysis of future... | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta agreement |
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| 4. Condições de acesso e uso | ||||
| URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34T/47MGJA8 | |||
| URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34T/47MGJA8 | |||
| Arquivo Alvo | TP_07_A2_SondermannM.pdf | |||
| Grupo de Usuários | simone | |||
| Grupo de Leitores | administrator simone | |||
| Visibilidade | shown | |||
| Permissão de Atualização | não transferida | |||
| 5. Fontes relacionadas | ||||
| Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F35TRS 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE | |||
| Acervo Hospedeiro | urlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40 | |||
| 6. Notas | ||||
| Campos Vazios | archivingpolicy archivist booktitle callnumber contenttype copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination doi e-mailaddress edition editor format isbn issn label language lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid organization pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project publisheraddress readpermission resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype type url versiontype volume | |||
| 7. Controle da descrição | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| atualizar | ||||